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Recent civil unrest shows need for sustainable investment

With the dust now apparently settled on the most widespread and violent period of intense unrest in South Africa's post-democratic history, businesses are looking to rebuild and investors are assessing their options. As they do so, one thing that should be abundantly clear is that a 'business as usual' approach won't work.
Bryan Turner, partner at Spear Capital | Image supplied
Bryan Turner, partner at Spear Capital | Image supplied
Forget the motives of those who instigated the violence and looting for a moment. Instead, remember that they were able to tap into the deep-seated anger of the country’s poorest people. While opportunistic middle-class looters make for great headlines, there is little doubt that they were in the minority.

Fueled by the economic devastation of Covid-19, South Africa’s unemployment rate is at an all-time high of 32.60% and the country also remains one of the most unequal countries in the world, a situation which has long been described as a ticking time bomb. As such, any rebuilding efforts should not look to entrench the status quo.

Policymakers, entrepreneurs and investors alike should all look for new ways of doing things that benefit the majority of South Africans.

Cutting government red tape is a good start


For lawmakers, a good place to start would be to make life easier for entrepreneurs. According to the World Bank, South Africa ranks 84th in ease of doing business. That puts it behind countries such as Albania, Mongolia and the Kyrgyz Republic. With due respect to these countries, it is not the kind of company Africa’s most industrialised economy should be keeping. It also takes an average of 40 days to start a business in South Africa. By comparison, it takes a single day in New Zealand, which unsurprisingly ranks first in the ease of doing business index.

While there’s no doubt that the excesses of big corporations need to be curbed through regulation, there is clearly a lot of red tape that South Africa needs to cut in order to foster entrepreneurship. The country has shown that it is capable of producing startups that can scale and compete internationally. Imagine how many more it could produce if conditions were made a little easier.

We also know that new jobs are created by SMEs and not big corporations. Government support for SMEs and the implementation of conducive policies for businesses must, therefore, be a priority.

Private sector must accelerate efforts on sustainability
Private sector must accelerate efforts on sustainability

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Fix the electricity crisis, education system


It is not just regulations directly related to entrepreneurship that need to be reformed either. For example, the power outages caused by years of mismanagement at Eskom have not only hampered the ability of existing businesses to operate, but have harmed the country’s investment potential. While the increase of the embedded generation threshold to 100MW is a positive step, it is just one of many small steps that the government could take to make economic growth and job creation easier.

Another important step is to fix education. We need to think differently about how we get the youth into the workforce and provide them with the skills they need to compete in the contemporary global economy. Fixing education will take time but it is well worth the effort in the long run.

Beyond extraction


At the same time, businesses and investors have to reconsider how they operate in South Africa. Over the past year or so, the country has experienced trade surpluses, thanks to bumper crops in the agricultural sector and a commodities boom. But these sectors can only create so many jobs. Most of the money from these sectors also comes from the export of raw products and materials. If South Africa was to refine its natural resources, it would create products with higher value and bring more jobs into the country.

Those businesses that do exist in the secondary and tertiary sectors should also ensure that they do everything they can to ensure their businesses operate sustainably and support the communities around them. The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a good place to start on this front. Adopted in 2015, the SDGs are a universal call to action to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure that by 2030 all people enjoy peace and prosperity.

When it comes to achieving those goals, the UN calls on businesses to play their part too. While there are those in the business world who will argue that taking an SDG-focused approach presents unnecessary obstacles, we believe that it can provide stronger businesses, economies and societies. Businesses can only gain by better serving and supporting the communities they operate in and by taking a long-term view informed by sustainability.

Investors, meanwhile, should look beyond opportunities for short-term gain and focus on companies with long-term viability that operate sustainably. While they may be cautious for the moment, it is important to realise that there are major opportunities to be found, especially among the companies that service the communities most adversely impacted by the looting.

Carmen Nel, economist and macro strategist, Matrix Fund Managers
The real impact of the unrest on SA's economy

As calm steadily returns after the recent social unrest, analysts are hard at work tallying the cost of the looting and disruption to economic activity...

By Carmen Nel 27 Jul 2021


Job creation key to changing the status quo


With or without the support of the government, there can be no doubt that South Africa’s recent unrest represents an imperative for change. By embracing that change, it is possible to build back better and more inclusively.

Without it, some may just try to maintain the status quo and put a lid on some of the factors that led to the violence in the first place. At best, that is a temporary fix and that is true even in developed economies. In 2011, parts of London were rocked by riots that caused hundreds of millions of pounds worth of damage. Today, people are warning that conditions are again ripe for rioting. In South Africa, it is highly unlikely that it will take that long.

Ultimately, the only way to change the status quo is through jobs. That does not just result in the upliftment of those who are employed, but also those they support and the money velocity added to the economy that becomes the fuel for growth. We must act now and act decisively.

About the author

Bryan Turner, partner SPEAR Capital

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