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What can we expect from the new Tobacco Bill and its ripple effect?

The proposed Control of Tobacco Products and Electronic Delivery Systems Bill is intended to replace the 1993 Tobacco Control Act, but is imposing a number of highly restrictive regulations including a complete ban on smoking in all public spaces, including outdoors within 10m of another person, removing all branding from cigarette packs, and banning public displays of cigarettes by retailers, as well as implementing jail time for contraventions of the new act.
What can we expect from the new Tobacco Bill and its ripple effect?
© Dario Lo Presti – 123RF.com

In South Africa


At least one quarter - that's 25% - of the local sale of cigarettes is illegal, with the legal industry having shrunk by 20% over the last five years; not because consumers have reduced consumption but because they are increasingly consuming illegal cigarettes. During 2016, an estimated 5.6 billion illegal cigarettes were consumed.

This comes at a staggering cost to SA's economy, with SA losing at least R5 billion each year in tax revenue that is desperately needed to uplift the country.

That's the fiscal impact, but the social impact is equally devastating as the Government's health agenda cannot be achieved without this tax revenue (the legal tobacco industry annually contributes more than R17 billion in excise tax and VAT); illegal cigarettes are being sold to children because they are cheaply available starting from R5 a pack and do not adhere to legal restrictions; at least 200 commercial farms representing around 10,000 farm workers and their dependents are facing job losses; manufacturing factories are also shedding jobs; and all of this while illicit tobacco is known to fuel organised crime and corruption.



Illicit cigarettes


The youth should not smoke or use products containing nicotine, however, criminals who deal in and profit from the illicit trade do not differentiate between consumers on any basis. Independent experts and government authorities agree that the illicit tobacco trade—by operating outside lawful and regulated channels—provides easy access to tobacco products for the youth.

In short, among its many destructive consequences, the illicit tobacco trade:
  • Robs government of tax revenues;
  • exposes consumers to unregulated products;
  • poses threats to security by providing a major source of illegal income for organized criminal groups;
  • encourages corruption, has fueled state capture and continues to threaten the rule of law;
  • reduces the effectiveness of public health policies;
  • makes it easier for minors to access tobacco products; and
  • undermines the legitimate, tax-paying industry's business.

Under the proposed system everyone loses, except criminals.

Between 80-90% of illicit cigarettes are manufactured locally since SA's borders were effectively modernised to reduce smuggling operations. The solution lies locally, with authorities taking control of the manufacturers of these cigarettes by ensuring that the volumes produced are also the volumes declared.



The role of the health ministry is minimal in curbing this menace. The main action lies outside the health sector, with departments in charge of customs, police, revenue, trade and intelligence.

How plain packaging exacerbates this effect


Plain packaging is a branding ban that requires a standardised appearance for all tobacco packaging. All logos, trademarks, non-prescribed colours and graphics would be removed and only the use of a brand name would be permitted in a standard font/size.

Australia was the first country to implement plain packaging in December 2012, but the latest annual public survey in Australia indicates that in four out of five states, smoking prevalence after the introduction of plain packaging was higher in 2013 than in 2012 before it was introduced. According to the Australian Government data from the National Drug Strategy Household Survey (NDSHS), reported daily smoking rates increased in 2013 (the first year of plain packaging) from 2.5% in 2010 to 3.4%. Smoking rates, in fact, jumped to 6.1% when one considers only the age subgroup of the 15-17 year olds. This demonstrates that plain packaging has failed to meet its objective to reduce youth smoking in Australia.



Price became the main driver of consumer choice as a result of the increase in taxation and the introduction of plain packaging and the illegal trade soared by 30%.

Branded packaging of tobacco products, like any other packaging of consumer goods, enables existing adult smokers to identify and differentiate brands quickly and to navigate their options.

The legitimate use of branding and trademarks also serves to maintain quality standards, as packaging acts as a symbol to consumers that the manufacturer stands behind its products. Finally, the use of colours and ‘stylised elements’ of branding are also factors that makes it more difficult to produce counterfeit product packaging.

The slippery slope


Threats of excessive regulation are no longer specific to tobacco. Food, soft drinks, alcohol, and pharmaceutical industries are now starting to worry about a domino effect.

This downward trend towards tobacco-style regulation is spreading internationally. Regulators are looking at copy-pasting punitive taxes, pictorial health warnings, and restrictions on products, advertising and promotion for a wider range of sectors.

Over-regulation threatens businesses’ commercial freedom and consumer freedom of choice.



At the extreme end of the slippery slope is plain packaging. If this ban on brands were to spread, it could have major ramifications for other businesses and set a dangerous legal precedent. If one industry is deprived of its intellectual property, all trademark owners lose.

In Part 2 of this article, we'll look at the effect on retailers, the ban on smoking in all public spaces and alternative proposals...

About Andrew Neumann

Andrew Neumann is the general manager and vice president, South, East and Central Africa of Japan Tobacco International (JTI). Japan Tobacco International (JTI) is not opposed to legislation and believes that appropriate and proportionate regulation of the tobacco sector is both necessary and right. JTI supports the existing regulation of the legal tobacco industry to comply with health risks and underage smoking, but they strongly recommend that Government reconsider passing further legislation where no evidence exists internationally that it will achieve its objectives; resulting instead in over-regulating the legal market and opening the door to the illicit market and a massive loss of tax revenue while existing laws are not properly implemented.

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