Climate risk still plagues Sasol despite Lake Charles sale

Sasol's sale of a 50% stake in its troubled Lake Charles project in Louisiana, USA is generally regarded as positive for the group as the $2bn cash injection will go a long way to reducing its formidable debt burden.
Photo: Sasol
Photo: Sasol

However, hurricane damage to the plant on two occasions (andanother expected this week) over the past year has highlighted how climate risk has impacted the business’s already precarious balance sheet, and the question remains whether this most recent move to alleviate debt levels is enough to put the company back on track.

The transaction is essentially a forced sale at a low in the chemicals and oil cycle. “Sasol incurred debt to build the facility and, given the collapse in oil and chemical prices, needs to take aggressive action to remain solvent,” says Meryl Pick, head of equities research at Old Mutual Investment Group,

Top of the agenda is asset sales. However, this sale cannot objectively be viewed as selling the crown jewels.
The decision to sell a stake therefore alleviates some downward pressure on returns for the group going forward. Sasol will focus its effort on generating better returns from the niche performance chemicals operations at Lake Charles, of which they will remain sole owners, she says.

The company falls within the highest categories of ESG risk, particularly in terms of its exposure to climate change-related risks, according to Old Mutual ESG index.

“Years of experience have given us a deep understanding that long-term system change requires alignment across the markets on core sustainability issues.

“There exists a degree of irony that Sasol has had to shut down its Lake Charles operations for the second time in the past three years due to interruptions caused by hurricanes. The impact of natural disasters on Sasol serves to highlight the role of ESG in the long-term sustainability of companies. Shareholder activists have long lobbied Sasol regarding its environmental, social and governance (ESG) disclosures, particularly its failure to provide stakeholders with adequate climate risk disclosure or to set greenhouse gas emission reduction targets," says Robert Lewenson, head of ESG engagement at Old Mutual Investment Group.

Material risk

Although Sasol acknowledges climate change as a material risk to its future revenues, its previous disclosure did not sufficiently set short-, medium- and long-term company-wide quantitative greenhouse gas targets (Scopes 1 and 2) aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement, nor did it link these targets to executive remuneration on both a short- and long-term basis to be effective.

“The core issues of concern were discussed on a number of platforms and included pre-AGM engagement and the filing of resolutions, as well as engagement with the board, where Sasol explained its response to climate risk so far. The board wanted to better understand the concerns of stakeholders and so published the Climate Change Report in 2019, dealing with matters not contemplated before,” he says.

These engagements yielded a number of positive outcomes. “Overall, we believe Sasol has done a good job of engaging across a diverse range of stakeholders including staff, customers, communities, investors, suppliers, regulators," he says.

This process has helped Sasol commit to reducing its carbon intensity while creating governance and decision-making structures focused on climate management.

The nature and outcome from these interventions are now reported on annually in the group’s Climate Change Report. The 2020 edition shows that Sasol has engaged widely with stakeholders, with the report publishing stakeholder concerns.

As to Sasol’s future prospects linked to the Lake Charles project, Pick says it appears unlikely that it will deliver the attractive returns envisioned when the project was approved in 2014. “This is due to the huge cost overruns during the build phase, a deteriorating global growth outlook that’s weighing on chemicals prices, and rising environmental pressure on the plastics industry.”

Let's do Biz